Timothy Yeh <tenton@mac.com> wrote:
| 
| > On Oct 13, 2015, at 12:49 PM, Bradley Huffaker <bhuffake@caida.org> wrote:
| >>  http://www.usagi.org/doi-bin/llcutoff.pl?me=45,51,57
| > 
| > I admit to knowing almost nothing about LL, but I always enjoy a good
| > plot. What are your axis?  Where do you get your data? What is this
| > suppose to be telling me? 

Thanks to Tim for answering almost everything.
I should add some information for those who just
happen to land on one of my plots.. (^_^;

| He's plotting score (Y) vs hours (X).
| His data is real world data from the Japanese Love Live events;

The goal of all of my plots is the predict the final score
(cutoff score).

The plot above is the multiple event plot.
Most of the events seem to go at nearly the same curve,
so by comparing the current event to previous events,
you can get a pretty good idea of where the score end up.

This event (the blue line) started out slow, as it was
near the red line.  The red event ended at 58529.
But around the third day, the score started to take off and
is approaching the green line.  The green event ended at 71599.

Right now I only enter the scores every 8 hours or so,
but near the end I'll try to enter the scores every hour.
By looking at how close the blue line comes to the green line,
you can see how hard you have to try in the final few hours.

My official prediction is "finalized" at T-40 (40 hours
before the end), and for this event it is 70428.

  http://www.usagi.org/doi-bin/llcutoff.pl?e=57&c=50000

When I started making these predictions, I only had the
prediction charts, but the multiple event plots also come
in very handy at the final few hours of the event.

| And this event is taking off a little. I need to grind a bit today and
| tomorrow; it could hit 71k, so I'd better prepare myself to be in
| position (currently at 37k). ^_^;

I don't know if the increase in score was due to the three day
weekend, or because of Maki (probably the most popular girl now).
Since the songs are pretty difficult this time, I'm using more
stones than usual.. (;_;)

--
Hitoshi Doi
                          " this space for rent "
http://www.usagi.org/doi/                                    doi@usagi.org